Predictions of just-enough inflation
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Inflation of conditional predictions.
The authors report 7 experiments indicating that conditional predictions--the assessed probability that a certain outcome will occur given a certain condition--tend to be markedly inflated. The results suggest that this inflation derives in part from backward activation in which the target outcome highlights aspects of the condition that are consistent with that outcome, thus supporting the pla...
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Statisticians have developed several methods for comparing hypotheses and for estimating parameters from data. Of these, the method of maximum likelihood is remarkable both for its power and for its flexibility. Yet it is seldom covered in introductory statistics courses because it is hard to present either as a canned computer program or within a cookbook-style textbook. It is much too flexibi...
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Information retrieval systems today scan large data spaces in response to the user's information need, returning lists of retrievables ordered by relevance 11]. In the general case, the tendency is to return as many relevant items as the system can locate. However, in situations where the retrievables are highly similar to one another, one just may be enough. In this extended abstract, we descr...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Physical Review D
سال: 2012
ISSN: 1550-7998,1550-2368
DOI: 10.1103/physrevd.85.103516